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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
19%
chance
Yes
No
$517K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$135
60 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
96%
5 more
$826K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
20-40
55%
0-20
35%
3 more
$103K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
51 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
32%
chance
Yes
No
$185K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$78
44 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 6?
<150
71%
150-174
19%
3 more
$161K
Vol.
Jul 12
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
59 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$1.58M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$227
60 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$6.9K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$70
43 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
37%
November
16%
5 more
$23K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$68
39 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
175+
39%
125-149
35%
3 more
$305.36
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$64
27 trading now
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